Forecast for 2009. by Sergey Orlik. He remembered how come true. my prediction about Google. I decided to follow suit and give its forecast for 2009. What if I have a flair for the forecasts? .
Forecast of number 1. Not a prediction is not fulfilled by Sergey.
Prediction number 2. Software sales will fall to even lower levels than they were prior to the company's anti- piracy software. This is due to the fact that the WTO, we have not seem to want, so there is no need to arrange a public flogging (for example, the case Ponosov ). And then raised a wave will come to nothing, everything will return to its bed, and in view of the crisis - piracy flourish even more than before.
Forecast of number 3. Substantially increase revenue from mobile content: games, ringtones, videos. The arrival of iphone in Russia, the issue of google phone and cell phone from Microsoft- links in a chain, the analysts of these giant companies feel where the money is. While all this mobility will only work on the entertainment industry, the individual user. For business mobile solutions and not ripe for the 2009. This situation is analogous to the unfolding of 3D- accelerators, which began the widespread use of video games.
Prediction number 4. Toward the end of the crisis vendors finally realize that SaaS- it's crap, which peck at the few percent of fools. Understand, because even in times of crisis tempting offers SaaS-based will not find a buyer, but what can we say about the development of the crisis is. Why do we pay for anything if you get more popular free? .
Prediction number 5. In spite of any crisis, to continue the transition of companies from their own development of automation systems to the use of standardized solutions, mainly based on 1C.
Prediction number 6. If the online- music sales have already surpassed the sales of a CD, a digital TV only on the way. We are waiting for the rapid development of digital TV and a surge of interest advertisers to him. Many people in 2009 is fully conscious abandon conventional TV in favor of purely digital TV.
In short, everything is as usual, but a little worse. However, in the field of communication, communication, interactive services, entertainment, feels that a breakthrough is brewing. py '. This is all the individual pieces of the puzzle that have poured out of the box on the table, but not yet started collecting pictures of them. Here in 2009 and will begin assembly of pictures. Clearly nothing else will, but the synergistic effect of combining the individual pieces, we feel.
Friday, March 30, 2012
Forecast for 2009
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